Saints vs. Falcons Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4
Published 3:37 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024
Our computer model projects a win for the New Orleans Saints when they face the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.
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The Falcons are compiling 16.3 points per game on offense (26th in NFL), and they rank 13th on the other side of the ball with 20.3 points allowed per game. Things have been positive for the Saints on both sides of the ball, as they are posting 34.3 points per game (second-best) and ceding only 14.7 points per game (fifth-best).
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Saints vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Saints (+3) | Over (41) | Saints 22, Falcons 21 |
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Saints Betting Info
- The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 43.5%.
- New Orleans has covered twice in three games with a spread this season.
- The Saints have won their only game this season when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
- This year, games featuring New Orleans have gone over the point total twice.
- The average total for Saints games (playoffs included) is 46 points, five more than this game’s over/under.
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Falcons Betting Info
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Falcons’ implied win probability is 60.8%.
- Atlanta has won one game against the spread this season.
- The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
- Atlanta and its opponent have not hit the over yet this season.
- The total for this game is 41, 4.2 points fewer than the average total in Falcons games thus far this season (postseason included).
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Saints vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 16.3 | 20.3 | 13.5 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| Saints | 34.3 | 14.7 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 44 | 19 |
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