Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Monday Night Football Week 5
Published 7:37 pm Sunday, October 6, 2024
A victory by the Kansas City Chiefs over the New Orleans Saints is our computer model prediction for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Monday, Oct. 7 at 8:15 p.m. ET (at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium). For a full breakdown, including the spread, over/under and final score, see below.
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The Chiefs are compiling 23 points per game on offense (15th in NFL), and they rank eighth defensively with 18 points allowed per game. From an offensive angle, the Saints are accumulating 349 total yards per game (12th-ranked). They rank 16th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (330.3 total yards allowed per game).
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Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Toss Up (Spread: Chiefs by 5.5) | Over (43) | Chiefs 26, Saints 19 |
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Saints Betting Info
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 33.3% chance of a victory for the Saints.
- New Orleans has won three games against the spread this season, failing to cover once.
- The Saints have won their only game this season when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
- New Orleans and its opponent have combined to hit the over three out of four times this season.
- The average total for Saints games (postseason included) is 44.9 points, 1.9 more than this game’s over/under.
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Chiefs Betting Info
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Chiefs have an implied win probability of 71.4%.
- Kansas City has a record of 2-1-1 against the spread this season.
- The Chiefs have been favored by 5.5 points or more this season twice, and failed to cover both times.
- Kansas City games have hit the over twice this season.
- The average total for Chiefs games this season (postseason included) has been 45.4, 2.4 points higher than the total for this game.
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Saints vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | 23 | 18 | 26.5 | 22.5 | 19.5 | 13.5 |
| Saints | 31.8 | 17.5 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 34 | 22.5 |
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