Saints vs. Broncos Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Thursday Night Football Week 7

Published 7:38 pm Wednesday, October 16, 2024

The Denver Broncos will meet the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome on Thursday, Oct. 17 at 8:15 p.m. ET. Our computer model projects that the Saints will win — see below for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Broncos have struggled offensively, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL (278.2 yards per game) this season. However, they rank fourth-best on the other side of the ball, giving up just 284.3 yards per game. The Saints have sputtering on defense, ranking worst with 395.8 total yards allowed per game. They have been better on offense, posting 319.8 total yards per contest (18th-ranked).

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Saints vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (+2.5) Over (37) Saints 23, Broncos 22

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Saints Betting Info

  • The Saints have a 45.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • New Orleans has covered three times in six chances against the spread this year.
  • The Saints have covered the spread twice when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this season (in four opportunities).
  • So far this year, four of New Orleans’ six games with a set number have gone over the point total.
  • The average total points scored in Saints games (postseason included) this year (37) is 7.2 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Broncos Betting Info

  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Broncos’ implied win probability is 59.2%.
  • Denver has compiled a 4-2-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Broncos have been favored by 2.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
  • So far this season, three of Denver’s six games have hit the over.
  • The total for this game is 37, 1.5 points fewer than the average total in Broncos games thus far this season.

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Saints vs. Broncos 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Broncos 18.7 16 18.7 18 18.7 14
Saints 27.8 24.5 28.7 25.3 27 23.7

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