A victory by the Atlanta Falcons over the New Orleans Saints is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Sunday, Nov. 10 at 1 p.m. ET (at Caesars Superdome). For more information, including the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Falcons are averaging 24.6 points per game offensively this season (12th in NFL), and they are allowing 24 points per game (20th) on the other side of the ball. The Saints rank 17th in total yards per game (331.4), but they’ve been less productive defensively, ranking fifth-worst in the NFL with 376.4 total yards allowed per contest.

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Saints vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks

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Saints Betting Info

• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 37.7% chance of a victory for the Saints.
• New Orleans has won three games against the spread this season, failing to cover six times.
• The Saints have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
• So far this year, six of New Orleans’ nine games with a set number have gone over the point total.
• The over/under for this game is 3.5 points higher than the average scoring total for Saints games (43).

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Falcons Betting Info

• The Falcons have an implied moneyline win probability of 66.7% in this matchup.
• Atlanta has won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover four times.
• The Falcons have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• Atlanta and its opponent have combined to go over the point total four out of nine times this season.
• The over/under for this game is 46.5 points, 0.2 more than the average point total for Falcons games this season.

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Saints vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights

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