Thursday’s game features the South Alabama Jaguars (9-4, 1-0 Sun Belt) and the Georgia State Panthers (4-9, 0-1 Sun Belt) clashing at Georgia State Convocation Center (on January 2) at 7:00 PM ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 73-69 win for South Alabama.

Based on our computer prediction, Georgia State is a good bet to cover the spread, which is currently listed at 6.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 139.5 total.

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South Alabama vs. Georgia State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: Georgia State Convocation Center
• Line: South Alabama -6.5
• Point total: 139.5
• Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -310, Georgia State +240

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South Alabama vs. Georgia State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  South Alabama 73, Georgia State 69

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Georgia State

• Pick ATS: Georgia State (+6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (139.5)

South Alabama has a 7-4-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Georgia State, who is 5-7-0 ATS. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Jaguars are 5-6-0 and the Panthers are 5-7-0. The two teams average 146.2 points per game, 6.7 more points than this matchup’s total. South Alabama has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in the last 10 games. Georgia State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 2-8 overall in its last 10 contests.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars’ +159 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 12.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.9 points per game (206th in college basketball) while giving up 62.7 per outing (20th in college basketball).
• South Alabama records 30.7 rebounds per game (290th in college basketball) compared to the 31.0 of its opponents.
• South Alabama makes 9.7 three-pointers per game (45th in college basketball) at a 33.6% rate (194th in college basketball), compared to the 11.8 per outing its opponents make while shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc.
• The Jaguars rank 69th in college basketball by averaging 102.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 77th in college basketball, allowing 85.7 points per 100 possessions.
• South Alabama has committed 5.3 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 8.2 (first in college basketball play) while forcing 13.5 (76th in college basketball).

Georgia State Performance Insights

• The Panthers have a -101 scoring differential, falling short by 7.8 points per game. They’re putting up 71.3 points per game, 279th in college basketball, and are allowing 79.1 per outing to rank 334th in college basketball.
• Georgia State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 3.8 boards. It collects 35.4 rebounds per game (68th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.6.
• Georgia State hits 1.5 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 6.6 (290th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.1.
• Georgia State has had more turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 12.6 per game (272nd in college basketball) while forcing 10.0 (325th in college basketball).

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