Thursday’s game features the South Alabama Jaguars (11-4, 3-0 Sun Belt) and the Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-4, 2-1 Sun Belt) squaring off at Mitchell Center in what is expected to be a competitive matchup, with a projected 71-70 win for South Alabama according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 8:00 PM ET on January 9.

Based on our computer prediction, Arkansas State should cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 2.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 140.5 over/under.

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South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Mobile, Alabama
• Venue: Mitchell Center
• Line: South Alabama -2.5
• Point total: 140.5
• Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -132, Arkansas State +108

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South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  South Alabama 71, Arkansas State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Arkansas State

• Pick ATS: Arkansas State (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (140.5)

South Alabama has put together a 9-4-0 record against the spread this season, while Arkansas State is 6-8-0. The Jaguars have a 5-8-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Red Wolves have a record of 7-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score 154.4 points per game, 13.9 more points than this matchup’s total. South Alabama is 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 contests, while Arkansas State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars average 75.1 points per game (189th in college basketball) while allowing 60.9 per contest (eighth in college basketball). They have a +214 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 14.2 points per game.
• The 31.1 rebounds per game South Alabama averages rank 278th in college basketball. Its opponents grab 30.8 per outing.
• South Alabama knocks down 9.7 three-pointers per game (43rd in college basketball), 1.7 fewer than its opponents (11.4).
• The Jaguars average 102.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (57th in college basketball), and give up 83.3 points per 100 possessions (29th in college basketball).
• South Alabama wins the turnover battle by 6.1 per game, committing 7.9 (first in college basketball) while its opponents average 14.

Arkansas State Performance Insights

• The Red Wolves’ +133 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.9 points per game) is a result of putting up 79.3 points per game (86th in college basketball) while giving up 70.4 per contest (154th in college basketball).
• Arkansas State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 1.3 boards. It records 37.9 rebounds per game (12th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 36.6.
• Arkansas State makes 2.7 more threes per contest than the opposition, 9.2 (73rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.5.
• Arkansas State has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 11 per game (135th in college basketball) while forcing 12.7 (122nd in college basketball).

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