South Alabama vs. Troy Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 18

Published 8:19 pm Friday, January 17, 2025

Saturday’s game that pits the South Alabama Jaguars (13-5, 5-1 Sun Belt) against the Troy Trojans (11-6, 4-2 Sun Belt) at Mitchell Center has a projected final score of 70-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of South Alabama, who is a small favorite in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 4:00 PM ET on January 18.

Based on our computer prediction, Troy is projected to cover the spread (3.5) versus South Alabama. The two teams are expected to go over the 129.5 over/under.

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South Alabama vs. Troy Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Mobile, Alabama
  • Venue: Mitchell Center
  • Line: South Alabama -3.5
  • Point total: 129.5
  • Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -166, Troy +138

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South Alabama vs. Troy Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    South Alabama 70, Troy 67

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Troy

  • Pick ATS: Troy (+3.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (129.5)

South Alabama has an 11-5-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Troy, who is 9-6-0 ATS. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Jaguars are 6-10-0 and the Trojans are 7-8-0. The teams combine to score 148.6 points per game, 19.1 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 contests, South Alabama is 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall while Troy has gone 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

Bet on this or any men’s college basketball matchup at BetMGM.

South Alabama Performance Insights

  • The Jaguars average 74.5 points per game (200th in college basketball) while giving up 61.6 per outing (eighth in college basketball). They have a +233 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 12.9 points per game.
  • The 30.9 rebounds per game South Alabama averages rank 276th in the country. Its opponents record 31.9 per contest.
  • South Alabama connects on 9.8 three-pointers per game (39th in college basketball) at a 34.3% rate (153rd in college basketball), compared to the 11.1 per outing its opponents make while shooting 32.9% from beyond the arc.
  • The Jaguars average 101.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (67th in college basketball), and give up 84 points per 100 possessions (27th in college basketball).
  • South Alabama has committed 5.1 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 8.1 (first in college basketball action) while forcing 13.2 (74th in college basketball).

Troy Performance Insights

  • The Trojans are outscoring opponents by 7.6 points per game, with a +129 scoring differential overall. They put up 74.1 points per game (208th in college basketball) and allow 66.5 per contest (57th in college basketball).
  • The 34.5 rebounds per game Troy accumulates rank 90th in college basketball, 6.4 more than the 28.1 its opponents grab.
  • Troy knocks down 7.2 three-pointers per game (233rd in college basketball) at a 29.8% rate (333rd in college basketball), compared to the 6.8 its opponents make, shooting 33% from beyond the arc.
  • Troy has lost the turnover battle by 1.1 per game, committing 14.4 (345th in college basketball) while forcing 13.3 (69th in college basketball).

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