Saturday’s game between the South Alabama Jaguars (17-9, 9-4 Sun Belt) and the Texas State Bobcats (13-13, 6-7 Sun Belt) at Mitchell Center has a projected final score of 74-67 based on our computer prediction, with a favored South Alabama squad coming out on top. Game time is at 4:00 PM ET on February 15.

Based on our computer prediction, South Alabama is a good bet to cover the spread, which is currently listed at 6.5. The two sides are projected to eclipse the 136.5 over/under.

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South Alabama vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Mobile, Alabama
• Venue: Mitchell Center
• Line: South Alabama -6.5
• Point total: 136.5
• Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -280, Texas State +220

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South Alabama vs. Texas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  South Alabama 74, Texas State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Texas State

• Pick ATS: South Alabama (-6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (136.5)

South Alabama has compiled a 13-11-0 record against the spread this season, while Texas State is 11-13-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Jaguars are 9-15-0 and the Bobcats are 14-10-0. The teams average 148.2 points per game, 11.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 contests, South Alabama has a 3-7 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall. Texas State has gone 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall in its last 10 matches.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars average 72.5 points per game (233rd in college basketball) while allowing 63.6 per outing (15th in college basketball). They have a +232 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 8.9 points per game.
• South Alabama grabs 31.5 rebounds per game (225th in college basketball) while allowing 33 per contest to its opponents. It is outrebounded by 1.5 boards per game.
• South Alabama makes 9.1 three-pointers per game (60th in college basketball), 2.4 fewer than its opponents (11.5). It is shooting 32.9% from beyond the arc (243rd in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 33.3%.
• The Jaguars’ 98.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 117th in college basketball, and the 86.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 37th in college basketball.
• South Alabama has committed 8.6 turnovers per game (fourth in college basketball action), 3.9 fewer than the 12.5 it forces on average (98th in college basketball).

Texas State Performance Insights

• The Bobcats have a +79 scoring differential, topping opponents by three points per game. They’re putting up 75.7 points per game, 138th in college basketball, and are allowing 72.7 per outing to rank 214th in college basketball.
• Texas State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 3.1 boards. It records 32.5 rebounds per game (157th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.4.
• Texas State makes 5.7 three-pointers per game (347th in college basketball), 1.7 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 36.8% from deep (55th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 37.3%.
• Texas State forces 11.5 turnovers per game (181st in college basketball) while committing 11.5 (206th in college basketball).

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