Wednesday’s game that pits the Arkansas State Red Wolves (19-8, 10-4 Sun Belt) versus the South Alabama Jaguars (18-9, 10-4 Sun Belt) at First National Bank Arena has a projected final score of 75-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Arkansas State, who is favored in this matchup by our model. Tipoff is at 8:00 PM ET on February 19.

Based on our computer prediction, South Alabama is projected to cover the spread (8.5) versus Arkansas State. The two teams are projected to exceed the 141.5 total.

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Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, February 19, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Jonesboro, Arkansas
• Venue: First National Bank Arena
• Line: Arkansas State -8.5
• Point total: 141.5
• Moneyline (to win): Arkansas State -385, South Alabama +290

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Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Arkansas State 75, South Alabama 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Arkansas State vs. South Alabama

• Pick ATS: South Alabama (+8.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)

Arkansas State is 15-11-0 against the spread, while South Alabama’s ATS record this season is 13-12-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Red Wolves are 11-15-0 and the Jaguars are 9-16-0. The teams combine to score 151.4 points per game, 9.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Arkansas State has an 8-2 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. South Alabama has gone 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Arkansas State Performance Insights

• The Red Wolves are outscoring opponents by 9.2 points per game with a +247 scoring differential overall. They put up 79 points per game (63rd in college basketball) and allow 69.8 per contest (118th in college basketball).
• Arkansas State pulls down 37.6 rebounds per game (seventh in college basketball) while conceding 34.7 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.9 boards per game.
• Arkansas State knocks down 9.2 three-pointers per game (57th in college basketball), 2.9 more than its opponents (6.3).
• The Red Wolves average 96.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (153rd in college basketball), and give up 85.4 points per 100 possessions (25th in college basketball).
• Arkansas State has committed 2.3 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 9.9 (52nd in college basketball play) while forcing 12.2 (115th in college basketball).

South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars put up 72.4 points per game (233rd in college basketball) while giving up 63.7 per contest (15th in college basketball). They have a +237 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 8.7 points per game.
• South Alabama loses the rebound battle by 1.9 boards on average. It collects 31.5 rebounds per game, 215th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 33.4.
• South Alabama connects on 8.9 three-pointers per game (70th in college basketball) at a 32.6% rate (260th in college basketball), compared to the 11.4 per contest its opponents make, shooting 33.2% from beyond the arc.
• South Alabama has come out ahead in the turnover battle by four per game, committing 8.6 (fourth in college basketball) while forcing 12.6 (86th in college basketball).

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