NBA Best Bets: Mavericks vs. Pelicans Picks for February 21
Published 3:34 pm Friday, February 21, 2025
The New Orleans Pelicans (13-42) are 5.5-point underdogs as they attempt to stop a seven-game road slide when they square off against the Dallas Mavericks (30-26) on Friday, February 21, 2025 at American Airlines Center. The contest airs at 8:30 PM ET on KFAA and Gulf Coast Sports.
Our computer predictions below will assist you in choosing the best bets available for Friday’s game.
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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Game Info
- When: Friday, February 21, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET
- Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
- TV: KFAA and Gulf Coast Sports
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Best Bets
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Kyrie Irving Over 27.5 PTS
- Kyrie Irving has recorded 24.6 points per game in the 2024-25 season, 2.9 points less than Friday’s over/under.
- Irving has gone up against a points prop bet in 44 games this season, and he’s exceeded the total 23 times.
- The Mavericks are at the 11th spot in the NBA’s scoring rankings (115.7 points per game), while the Pelicans concede the 27th-lowest amount of points (119.4 per game).
- Dallas is 17-5 when putting up more points than 119.4.
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Trey Murphy III Over 22.5 PTS
- The 22.4 points Trey Murphy III scores per game are 0.1 less than his over/under on Friday.
- Murphy has gone over 23 times on a points prop this season (in 38 opportunities).
- New Orleans is the NBA’s 22nd-ranked team offensively (110.6 points per game), while Dallas is 17th-ranked on defense (113.5 conceded).
- New Orleans has put together a 10-10 record when it scores more than 113.5 points.
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Pick ATS: Mavericks (- 5.5)
- Dallas is 30-26-0 against the spread this year.
- New Orleans has 23 wins in 55 games against the spread this year.
- The Mavericks are 10-6 as 5.5-point favorites or more.
- The Pelicans are 12-19 as 5.5-point underdogs or more.
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Pick OU:
Under (237.5)
- In 19 of 56 games this season, the Mavericks and their opponents have scored more than 237.5 points.
- The Pelicans and their opponents have combined to score more than 237.5 points in 19 of 55 games this season.
- Dallas has had an average of 228 points in its games this season, 9.5 fewer than this matchup’s total.
- The average over/under for New Orleans’ outings this season is 226.8, 10.7 fewer points than this game’s total.
- The Mavericks are the eighth-highest scoring team in the NBA this year. The Pelicans have scored the 21st-most points.
- This contest features the NBA’s 27th-ranked (Pelicans) and 20th-ranked (Mavericks) scoring defenses.
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Moneyline Pick: Mavericks (-220)
- The Mavericks have entered the game as favorites 27 times this season and won 18, or 66.7%, of those games.
- The Pelicans have come away with six wins in the 40 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Dallas has won 12 of its 15 games, or 80%, when favored by at least -220 on the moneyline.
- This year, New Orleans has won two of 31 games when listed as at least +180 or better on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.8% chance of a victory for the Mavericks.
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