Saturday’s game that pits the South Alabama Jaguars (19-9, 11-4 Sun Belt) against the Texas State Bobcats (14-14, 7-8 Sun Belt) at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center should be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 72-70 in favor of South Alabama. Game time is at 5:30 PM ET on February 22.

Based on our computer prediction, South Alabama projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup against Texas State. The over/under is listed at 134.5, and the two teams are projected to exceed it.

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Texas State vs. South Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 22, 2025
• Time: 5:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: San Marcos, Texas
• Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center
• Line: Texas State -1.5
• Point total: 134.5
• Moneyline (to win): Texas State -118, South Alabama -104

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Texas State vs. South Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  South Alabama 71, Texas State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for Texas State vs. South Alabama

• Pick ATS: South Alabama (+1.5)
• Pick OU: Over (134.5)

Texas State has gone 13-13-0 against the spread, while South Alabama’s ATS record this season is 14-12-0. The Bobcats have a 15-11-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Jaguars have a record of 9-17-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score an average of 147.5 points per game, 13.0 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, Texas State is 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall while South Alabama has gone 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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Texas State Performance Insights

• The Bobcats’ +91 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 75.5 points per game (136th in college basketball) while allowing 72.3 per outing (199th in college basketball).
• The 33.6 rebounds per game Texas State averages rank 88th in college basketball, and are 4.4 more than the 29.2 its opponents collect per contest.
• Texas State makes 5.9 three-pointers per game (338th in college basketball), 1.5 fewer than its opponents (7.4).
• The Bobcats rank 134th in college basketball with 97.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 183rd in college basketball defensively with 93.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Texas State and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Bobcats commit 11.5 per game (207th in college basketball) and force 11.3 (194th in college basketball action).

South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars have a +241 scoring differential, topping opponents by 8.6 points per game. They’re putting up 72 points per game, 244th in college basketball, and are allowing 63.4 per outing to rank 14th in college basketball.
• South Alabama loses the rebound battle by 2.4 boards on average. It collects 31.4 rebounds per game, 218th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 33.8.
• South Alabama knocks down 2.4 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 8.8 (76th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 11.2.
• South Alabama has committed 4.3 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 8.5 (third in college basketball) while forcing 12.8 (77th in college basketball).

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