South Alabama vs. Louisiana Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 28

Published 4:20 pm Thursday, February 27, 2025

Friday’s game that pits the South Alabama Jaguars (20-10, 12-5 Sun Belt) versus the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (11-19, 8-9 Sun Belt) at Mitchell Center is expected to be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 75-64 in favor of South Alabama, who is heavily favored by our model. Tipoff is at 8 p.m. ET on February 28.

According to our computer prediction, the South Alabama versus Louisiana game has a predicted spread that matches the actual spread (11.5). The two teams are projected to exceed the 134.5 over/under.

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South Alabama vs. Louisiana Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Mobile, Alabama
  • Venue: Mitchell Center
  • Line: South Alabama -11.5
  • Point total: 134.5
  • Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -847, Louisiana +570

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South Alabama vs. Louisiana Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    South Alabama 75, Louisiana 64

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Louisiana

  • Pick ATS: Pick Em
  • Pick OU: Over (134.5)

South Alabama’s record against the spread this season is 15-13-0, while Louisiana’s is 12-17-0. The Jaguars have hit the over in 11 games, while Ragin’ Cajuns games have gone over 11 times. The two teams score 139.7 points per game, 5.2 more points than this matchup’s total. South Alabama is 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall over its last 10 games, while Louisiana has gone 7-3 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

  • The Jaguars have a +246 scoring differential, topping opponents by 8.2 points per game. They’re putting up 73.2 points per game to rank 208th in college basketball and are giving up 65 per contest to rank 23rd in college basketball.
  • South Alabama loses the rebound battle by an average of 2.1 boards. It is collecting 31.4 rebounds per game (217th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 33.5 per outing.
  • South Alabama hits 8.9 three-pointers per game (71st in college basketball), 2.4 fewer than its opponents (11.3).
  • The Jaguars average 98.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (117th in college basketball), and give up 87.3 points per 100 possessions (46th in college basketball).
  • South Alabama has come out ahead in the turnover battle by 4.2 turnovers per game, committing 8.5 (third in college basketball action) while forcing 12.7 (74th in college basketball).

Louisiana Performance Insights

  • The Ragin’ Cajuns are being outscored by 7.1 points per game, with a -214 scoring differential overall. They put up 66.5 points per game (346th in college basketball), and give up 73.6 per contest (234th in college basketball).
  • Louisiana is 351st in the nation at 27.4 rebounds per game. That’s eight fewer than the 35.4 its opponents average.
  • Louisiana knocks down 6.7 three-pointers per game (291st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.5. It shoots 31.2% from deep, and its opponents shoot 31.3%.
  • Louisiana has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 10.1 per game (69th in college basketball) while forcing 12.7 (74th in college basketball).

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