NOAA predicts ‘above-normal’ Atlantic hurricane season

Published 11:59 am Thursday, May 20, 2021

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The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) climate prediction center announced today that another above-normal Atlantic hurricane season is in the works.

Hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30, 2021.

According to NOAA, forecasters predict a 60 percent chance of an above-normal season, a 30 percent chance of a near-normal season and a 10 percent chance of a below-normal season. Additionally, experts do not aniticipate the historic level of storm activity seen in 2020, according to NOAA’s website.

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For 2021, a likely range of 13 to 20 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 6 to 10 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3 to 5 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher) is expected. NOAA provides these ranges with a 70 percent confidence.

“Now is the time for communities along the coastline as well as inland to get prepared for the dangers that hurricanes can bring,” said Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo. “The experts at NOAA are poised to deliver life-saving early warnings and forecasts to communities, which will also help minimize the economic impacts of storms.”

In an effort to continuously enhance hurricane forecasting, NOAA made several updates to products and services that will improve hurricane forecasting during the 2021 season.

Last year’s record-breaking season serves as a reminder to all residents in coastal regions or areas prone to inland flooding from rainfall to be prepared for the 2021 hurricane season.